Wednesday, October 24, 2012

NOAA: Hurricane Sandy Affects Florida Weather


 
MIAMI, Florida -- As of 5:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, October 24, 2012, NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, has issued its tropical weather outlook due to the presence of Hurricane Sandy in the Caribbean Sea and Tropical Storm Tony in the central tropical Atlantic.

CLICK ANY IMAGE TO ENLARGE 
   
 
Hurricane Sandy is located 25 miles north-northeast of Kingston, Jamaica with maximum sustained winds of 80 miles per hour.  Hurricane Sandy Sandy is moving to the north at 14 miles per hour.
 
 
NOAA's storm tracker forecasts that Hurricane Sandy will remain at hurricane strength after it passes over Jamaica today and approaches eastern Cuba on Thursday.  Hurricane Sandy is expected to weaken to tropical storm strength again before it reaches the Bahamas on Friday.  
 
 
 
 
Later in the week, Hurricane Sandy is forecast to be in the open Atlantic as a tropical storm less than 200 miles off the South Florida coast Friday, and less than 200 miles off the Central Florida coast on Saturday.  
 


 
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Tony is located about 1060 miles west-southwest of the Azores with maximum sustained winds of 50 miles per hour.

 
NOAA's storm tracker forecasts that Tropical Storm Tony will remain in the open Atlantic and will continue on an east-northeasterly track on Wednesday.
 
 
 
 


Elsewhere in the Atlantic, tropical storm formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
 
 
NOAA's HURRICANE SANDY OFFICIAL  PUBLIC ADVISORY:
 
 
000
WTNT33 KNHC 242049
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
500 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...SANDY EMERGING OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF JAMAICA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 76.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO SEBASTIAN INLET.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA TO FLAGLER BEACH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO SEBASTIAN INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA....IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST. SANDY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY WILL MOVE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SANDY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS SANDY MOVES
OVER EASTERN CUBA...WITH SOME RESTRENGTHENING EXPECTED AFTER SANDY
MOVES INTO THE BAHAMAS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. KINGSTON JAMAICA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 44 MPH...70 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM JAMAICA IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. 


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF
JAMAICA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH EASTERN
CUBA THIS EVENING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...SANDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA...HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS INTO
SOUTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

JAMAICA...1 TO 3 FT
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 3 TO 5 FT
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...5 TO 8 FT
FLORIDA COAST WITHIN WARNING AREA...1 TO 2 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. 
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HURRICANE STATEMENT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
 
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR COASTAL SOUTHEAST FLORIDA,
ATLANTIC WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY, AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL
MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, BISCAYNE BAY,
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6N...LONGITUDE 76.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 660 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 630 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 5 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF SANDY EXPANDS,
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS, BEACH EROSION AND
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF
BANDS PERSIST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST COULD STILL RESORT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER
OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND WITHIN THE HOUR...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ067-068-071>074-174-250445-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
444 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE...

...WINDS...
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA, ESPECIALLY BY
THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED, FREQUENT GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE.

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM SANDY, RAINBANDS COULD MOVE ONSHORE THE COAST,
RESULTING IN HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. EVEN IF RAINBANDS REMAIN OFF THE COAST, WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HIGH WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE MIXING TO THE GROUND.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY
INFORMED. 
 
NOAA's TROPICAL STORM TONY OFFICIAL  PUBLIC ADVISORY:
 


000
WTNT34 KNHC 242040
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TONY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
500 PM AST WED OCT 24 2012

...TONY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 42.5W
ABOUT 1060 MI...1705 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TONY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST. TONY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.  TONY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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