NOAA: Unlikely Tropical Storm Dorian Redevelops, Projected Path Update
The remnants of Dorian (marked as #1) are merging with a frontal trough a couple hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. NOAA believes that development is not expected and this system has a low chance, near 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Computer spaghetti models are generally in a agreement that Tropical Depression Dorian will continue on a northeasterly track over the next 24 hours:
Could Sahara Sand In Florida Mean Less Hurricanes?
NOAA is forecasting an active or extremely active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season this year due to warmer-than-average ocean temperatures, lack of El Niño, and a continuation of the atmospheric climate pattern, which includes a strong west African monsoon, that is responsible for the ongoing era of high activity for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 4 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN ARE MERGING WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.