Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Invest 96L No Longer Expected To Form Into Tropical Cyclone

UPDATE: According to the National Hurricane Center, Invest 96L is no longer expected to form into a tropical cyclone.

MIAMI, Florida - NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 a.m. on Wednesday, July 19, 2017, due the presence of a tropical wave that could become Tropical Storm Emily and impact the U.S. east coast.

The system, named Invest 96L, is currently moving westward over the central tropical Atlantic.

The tropical wave, accompanied by a well-defined low pressure system, is located over 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  

The National Hurricane Center forecasts that some gradual development of this system is possible over the next two days while it moves toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. 

After that time, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for development.

Invest 96L has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone by Friday.

Will Invest 96L Become A Possible Tropical Storm Emily In Florida?

Invest 96l Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that the Invest 96L's projected path will move in a northwesterly direction towards the Bahamas through Wednesday. However, it is too early for the computer models to make a forecast as to where Invest 96L would make landfall along the Florida east coast, if at all.

Most intensity computer models have Emily reaching tropical storm strength by Friday but degenerating into a remnant low by Wednesday.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts that the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, will have above-normal activity.