Wednesday, September 20, 2017

NOAA: Hurricane Maria Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA GOES Satellite Image Hurricane Maria

NOAA's National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory due to Hurricane Maria that is a powerful Category 3 hurricane.

Hurricane Maria Strength

As of 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, September 20, 2017, Hurricane Maria has maximum sustained winds of 115 mph (185 km/h), with higher gusts.

Maria is currently a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).

Hurricane Maria 2017 Spaghetti Models

Hurricane Maria Spaghetti Models

Computer models are in general agreement that Hurricane Maria's projected path will move in a northwestward direction over Puerto Rico, then north of Hispaniola, and just east of the southeastern Bahamas before moving out into the open Atlantic later in the week.

However, it is too early for the computer models to make an accurate forecast as to where Hurricane Maria would make landfall along the U.S. east coast, if at all.

Hurricane Maria Projected Path

Hurricane Maria Projected Path

Hurricane Maria is located 15 miles west of Arecibo, Puerto Rico and is moving to the northwest at 12 mph (19 km/h). NHC forecasters say that this motion will continue with a decrease in forward speed through Friday.

Hurricane Maria is forecast to remain a Category 3 hurricane while nearing the Dominican Republic tonight and the southeastern Bahamas on Thursday night.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts that the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, could be the busiest in seven years.