Friday, September 22, 2017

NOAA: Hurricane Maria Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA GOES Satellite Image Hurricane Maria

NOAA's National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory due to Hurricane Maria that is a powerful Category 3 hurricane.

Hurricane Maria Strength

As of 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, September 22, 2017, Hurricane Maria has maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (205 km/h), with higher gusts.

Maria is currently a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NHC forecasters say some strengthening is possible over the next day or so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km).

Hurricane Maria 2017 Spaghetti Models

Hurricane Maria Spaghetti Models

Computer models are in general agreement that Hurricane Maria's projected path will move in a northwestward direction north of Hispaniola and east of the southeastern Bahamas.

However, it is too early for the computer models to make an accurate forecast as to where Hurricane Maria would make landfall along the U.S. east coast, if at all.

Hurricane Maria Projected Path

Hurricane Maria Projected Path

Hurricane Maria is located 395 miles east-northeast of Nassau and is moving to the north-northwest at 9 mph (15 km/h). NHC forecasters say that a turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today followed by a turn to the north on Saturday.

Hurricane Maria is forecast to remain a Category 3 hurricane while near the southeastern Bahamas on Friday.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts that the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, could be the busiest in seven years.